According to a television news channel, the third wave of the Covid-19 virus may hit India at the end of August, and will not be as deadly as the second one. Dr Samiran Panda, the head of epidemiology and infectious diseases at the Indian Council of Medical Research, says there will be a third wave, but it won’t be as intense or as high as the second wave.
In addition, he said that there may be a variant of the coronavirus that can bypass the acquired immunity; if it does not, it can spread quickly through the population. A premature easing of Covid-19 curbs by states could also cause the third wave of Covid-19.
Dr. Randeep Guleria of the All India Institute of Medical Science (AIIMS) said last week that loosening lockdown restrictions could precipitate a third wave of Covid-19. Multiple studies and models have been conducted to project the possible third wave’s trajectory under different scenarios, according to Dr Guleria. “A model from an IIT shows that if all restrictions are lifted and if a virus (variant) is also able to escape immunity then the next outbreak can be larger than the previous one. If some restrictions are kept and the virus also remains stable then cases will not be much and if we keep more restrictions then cases will further reduce,” he was quoted as saying by news agency PTI
The Indian Medical Association warned earlier this week that the third wave is “inevitable and imminent” and that large gatherings may become “potential super spreader” events.